GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Jacksonville State a 66% chance.
SeriesGeorgia Southern leads 1–0 · Georgia Southern won the last meeting, 41–34 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
JXST win
66% One-score game
37%
66% One-score game
37%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JXST
Home-field edge JXST
Model projection JXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville St
Your sims:Sims: JXST 0, GASO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat North Dakota State33–7Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State Stats ComparisonGASO vs JXST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia SouthernGASO | Jacksonville StateJXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9#65 | PPG | 28.1#62 |
| 32.3#120 | PA/G | 25.2#71 |
| 402.3#53 | YDS/G | 409.4#41 |
| 247#47 | PASS/G | 161.8#122 |
| 155.3#72 | RUSH/G | 247.6#5 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 44.7%#31 | 3RD DOWN | 38.7%#81 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +11#8 |
| 0.20#45 | OFF PPA | 0.19#53 |
| 0.27#130 | DEF PPA | 0.15#69 |
| 44.1%#45 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 48.8%#132 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#77 |
| 5.8% | RET PROD | 49.5% |
| 1.23#71 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#56 |
| -10.8 | SP+ | -7.8 |
| -8.7#103 | FPI | -8.5#101 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
AmFirst StadiumLocationJacksonville, AL
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation650 ft
FAN NEWS
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