GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDKSU radioWildcat Sports Network
TCU radioHorned Frogs Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives TCU a 56% chance.
SeriesKansas State leads 11–8 · Kansas State won the last meeting, 41–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KSU
Home-field edge TCU
Model projection TCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kansas State @ TCU
Your sims:Sims: TCU 0, KSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kansas State vs TCU Stats ComparisonKansas State vs TCU Stats Comparison
| Kansas StateKSU | TCUTCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5#33 | PPG | 24#95 |
| 20#40 | PA/G | 12.2#3 |
| 464.7#16 | YDS/G | 392.3#69 |
| 224.8#75 | PASS/G | 282.3#20 |
| 239.8#7 | RUSH/G | 110#125 |
| 6.6#23 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#64 |
| 59.3%#2 | 3RD DOWN | 41.5%#66 |
| 0.26#21 | OFF PPA | 0.10#86 |
| 49.9%#14 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.1%#75 |
| 34.5%#15 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.0%#6 |
| 71.4% | RET PROD | 22.4% |
| 1.19#91 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#44 |
| 1637 | ELO | 1628 |
| 11.0 | SP+ | 9.2 |
| 7.6#45 | FPI | 8.6#42 |
| 6.2 | SRS | 10.5 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| 0.07#72 | DEF PPA | -0.12#4 |
THE VENUE
Amon G. Carter StadiumLocationFort Worth, TX
Capacity46,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation608 ft
FAN NEWS
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