GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Alabama a 54% chance.
SeriesOhio leads 1–0 · Ohio won the last meeting, 27–20 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) OHIO
Home-field edge USA
Model projection USA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ohio @ South Alabama
Your sims:Sims: USA 0, OHIO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ohio vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonOhio vs USA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| OhioOHIO | South AlabamaUSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8#66 | PPG | 26.5#76 |
| 21.9#42 | PA/G | 30.4#110 |
| 412.3#35 | YDS/G | 382.2#75 |
| 184.2#109 | PASS/G | 181.1#114 |
| 228.2#9 | RUSH/G | 201.2#18 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 42.4%#42 | 3RD DOWN | 42.6%#39 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.13#57 | DEF PPA | 0.24#120 |
| 44.9%#39 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| 41.2%#62 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3%#94 |
| 62.5% | RET PROD | 78.6% |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| -11.8 | SP+ | -14.6 |
| -8.0#97 | FPI | -10.5#112 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock Whitney StadiumLocationMobile, AL
Capacity25,450
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Ohio or South Alabama?
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
