GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Nevada opens a 4.5-point favorite. Our model gives Nevada a 63% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 21–8 · Nevada won the last meeting, 55–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) NEV
Home-field edge NEV
Market lean NEV
Model projection NEV
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
San José State @ Nevada
Your sims:Sims: NEV 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSJSU +4.5NEV −4.5
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINESJSU +170NEV −205
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
San José State vs Nevada Stats ComparisonSJSU vs Nevada Stats Comparison
| San José StateSJSU | NevadaNEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#111 | PPG | 26#88 |
| 21.7#50 | PA/G | 23.5#66 |
| 384.7#74 | YDS/G | 361.8#92 |
| 246#53 | PASS/G | 171.8#122 |
| 138.7#97 | RUSH/G | 190#39 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#82 |
| 34.4%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 37.2%#89 |
| 0.13#77 | OFF PPA | 0.08#96 |
| 0.07#72 | DEF PPA | 0.13#102 |
| 40.3%#100 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.2%#101 |
| 43.2%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.3%#53 |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 35.5% |
| 1.17#100 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#32 |
| 1380 | ELO | 1420 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | −8#134 |
| -12.2 | SP+ | -4.3 |
| -12.5#112 | FPI | -8.4#98 |
| -13.1 | SRS | -8.5 |
THE VENUE
Mackay StadiumLocationReno, NV
Capacity27,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,615 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about San José State or Nevada?
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
