GAME DAY
Week 8 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma opens a 4-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma a 62% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
MSST win
38% One-score game
39% Cover OU −4
51%
38% One-score game
39% Cover OU −4
51%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OU
Home-field edge MSST
Market lean OU
Model projection OU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Oklahoma @ Mississippi State
Your sims:Sims: MSST 0, OU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOU 62%MarketOU 64%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $34,681 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOU −4MSST +4
TOTALOver 44.5Under 44.5
MONEYLINEOU −185MSST +154
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Oklahoma vs Mississippi State Stats ComparisonOklahoma vs MSST Stats Comparison
| OklahomaOU | Mississippi StateMSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3#113 | PPG | 32.5#48 |
| 18.2#30 | PA/G | 28.5#111 |
| 311.5#126 | YDS/G | 454.3#22 |
| 219#80 | PASS/G | 277.8#22 |
| 92.5#136 | RUSH/G | 176.5#50 |
| 5#121 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 33.7%#115 | 3RD DOWN | 46.2%#32 |
| 38.7%#118 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.8%#32 |
| 32.9%#3 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#116 |
| 63.2% | RET PROD | 33.9% |
| 1.07#134 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#66 |
| 1716 | ELO | 1558 |
| 12.2 | SP+ | 12.6 |
| 13.3#22 | FPI | 9.1#38 |
| 6.6 | SRS | 9.6 |
| −8#134 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -0.04#128 | OFF PPA | 0.20#44 |
| -0.12#4 | DEF PPA | 0.12#96 |
THE VENUE
Davis Wade StadiumLocationStarkville, MS
Capacity61,337
SurfaceGrass
Opened1914
Elevation362 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Oklahoma or Mississippi State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
