GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·UAlbanyUALB–
BuffaloBUF0–0·MAC
StreamingESPN+
BUF radioBulls Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Buffalo opens a 18.5-point favorite. Our model gives Buffalo a 87% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · UAlbany won the last meeting, 22–16 · 2016
What's driving the model
Home-field edge BUF
Market lean BUF
Model projection BUF
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
UAlbany @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, UALB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UAlbanyUAlbany2025: 0–1
Lat Iowa34–7Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUALB +18.5BUF −18.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINEUALB +750BUF −1200
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
UAlbany vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonUAlbany vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UAlbanyUALB | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 24#93 |
| – | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| – | YDS/G | 362.2#85 |
| – | PASS/G | 229#64 |
| – | RUSH/G | 133.2#97 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.11#48 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6%#106 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| – | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#114 |
| – | SP+ | -12.7 |
| – | FPI | -10.8#113 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
FAN NEWS
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