GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Buffalo @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, BUF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Buffalo51%
CFB Vibes ModelBUF 44%MarketBUF 51%
Market 7 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $1 traded · as of Sep 1, 11:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Buffalo vs Florida International Stats ComparisonBuffalo vs FIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BuffaloBUF | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24#93 | PPG | 28.5#61 |
| 23.5#54 | PA/G | 30#105 |
| 362.2#85 | YDS/G | 397#59 |
| 229#64 | PASS/G | 215.4#87 |
| 133.2#97 | RUSH/G | 181.6#36 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 35.8%#103 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.08#113 | OFF PPA | 0.16#78 |
| 0.11#48 | DEF PPA | 0.15#66 |
| 39.6%#106 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#89 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 1.17#114 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#35 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -0.8% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -14.5 |
| -10.8#113 | FPI | -12.6#119 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Buffalo or Florida International?
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
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