GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida Atlantic a 78% chance.
SeriesFlorida Atlantic leads 16–6 · Florida International won the last meeting, 38–28 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FAU win
78% One-score game
30%
78% One-score game
30%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FAU
Home-field edge FAU
Model projection FAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic
Your sims:Sims: FAU 0, FIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida International vs Florida Atlantic Stats ComparisonFIU vs FAU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida InternationalFIU | Florida AtlanticFAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5#61 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 30#105 | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| 397#59 | YDS/G | 445.7#22 |
| 215.4#87 | PASS/G | 340.5#1 |
| 181.6#36 | RUSH/G | 105.2#123 |
| 5.6#74 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 35.8%#103 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#96 |
| 0.16#78 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.15#66 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 40.7%#89 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 31.6% | RET PROD | 68.4% |
| 1.31#35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | −21#136 |
| -14.5 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| -12.6#119 | FPI | -11.3#115 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FAU StadiumLocationBoca Raton, FL
Capacity29,419
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation12 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Florida International or Florida Atlantic?
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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
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