GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Coastal Carolina a 55% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 7–5 · Coastal Carolina won the last meeting, 45–37 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge CCU
Model projection CCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ Coastal Carolina
Your sims:Sims: CCU 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Louisiana Tech23–14Lvs James Madison59–10Lat South Carolina51–7
Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs Coastal Carolina Stats ComparisonApp State vs CCU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| App StateAPP | Coastal CarolinaCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#91 | PPG | 22.2#108 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 33.1#125 |
| 384.9#71 | YDS/G | 325.8#116 |
| 256.5#34 | PASS/G | 169.5#117 |
| 128.4#102 | RUSH/G | 156.3#69 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 32.8%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 33.0%#121 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.06#120 |
| 0.18#86 | DEF PPA | 0.20#104 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.1%#126 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.2%#106 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.19#104 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#54 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -14.7 |
| -9.8#109 | FPI | -12.1#117 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Brooks Stadium (SC)LocationConway, SC
Capacity21,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2003
Elevation45 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about App State or Coastal Carolina?
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