GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CCU radioChanticleer Sports Network
GAST radioPanther Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia State a 74% chance.
SeriesCoastal Carolina leads 5–4 since 2017 · Coastal Carolina won the last meeting, 40–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GAST
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection GAST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, CCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Coastal Carolina
Lvs App State35–32Wat Marshall27–21Lvs Georgia Southern31–24
Georgia State
Lat James Madison49–22Wvs Old Dominion42–10Wvs Northern Illinois35–14
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelCCU 26%MarketCCU 28%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $13 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State Stats ComparisonCCU vs GAST Stats Comparison
| Coastal CarolinaCCU | Georgia StateGAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.1#87 | PPG | 36.5#26 |
| 25.9#92 | PA/G | 24#74 |
| 382.4#77 | YDS/G | 452.7#23 |
| 234.9#64 | PASS/G | 246.7#52 |
| 147.6#85 | RUSH/G | 206#26 |
| 5.9#64 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 36.5%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 47.5%#26 |
| 0.14#75 | OFF PPA | 0.21#39 |
| 0.14#105 | DEF PPA | 0.02#41 |
| 40.7%#96 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.3%#34 |
| 46.3%#123 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.2%#37 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 46.5% |
| 1.33#20 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#79 |
| 1277 | ELO | 1376 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| -11.0 | SP+ | -4.8 |
| -13.1#115 | FPI | -5.9#92 |
| -12.0 | SRS | 0.6 |
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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