GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDGAST radioPanther Sports Network
APP radioApp State Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives App State a 57% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 12–0 since 2014 · App State won the last meeting, 41–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GAST
Home-field edge APP
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia State @ App State
Your sims:Sims: APP 0, GAST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Georgia State
Lat James Madison49–22Wvs Old Dominion42–10Wvs Northern Illinois35–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia State vs App State Stats ComparisonGAST vs App State Stats Comparison
| Georgia StateGAST | App StateAPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5#26 | PPG | 29.5#69 |
| 24#74 | PA/G | 21.8#54 |
| 452.7#23 | YDS/G | 421.8#47 |
| 246.7#52 | PASS/G | 267.7#31 |
| 206#26 | RUSH/G | 154.2#71 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#53 |
| 47.5%#26 | 3RD DOWN | 35.9%#106 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.16#66 |
| 0.02#41 | DEF PPA | 0.05#62 |
| 47.3%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1%#59 |
| 37.2%#37 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.5%#82 |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 37.9% |
| 1.22#79 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| 1376 | ELO | 1301 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| -4.8 | SP+ | -6.0 |
| -5.9#92 | FPI | -8.9#101 |
| 0.6 | SRS | -10.1 |
THE VENUE
Kidd Brewer StadiumLocationBoone, NC
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation3,252 ft
FAN NEWS
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