GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDApp StateAPP0–0·SBC
MarshallMRSH0–0·SBC
APP radioApp State Sports Network
MRSH radioHerd Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Marshall a 70% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 7–5 · App State won the last meeting, 26–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs Marshall Stats ComparisonApp State vs Marshall Stats Comparison
2025 stats| App StateAPP | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#91 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 384.9#71 | YDS/G | 406.1#47 |
| 256.5#34 | PASS/G | 207.9#91 |
| 128.4#102 | RUSH/G | 198.2#21 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 32.8%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 35.2%#106 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 0.18#86 | DEF PPA | 0.16#73 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.6%#35 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.19#104 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#130 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -8.2 |
| -9.8#109 | FPI | -8.8#104 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about App State or Marshall?
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
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