GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDApp StateAPP4–2·SBC
MarshallMRSH3–3·SBC
APP radioApp State Sports Network
MRSH radioHerd Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives App State a 58% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 7–5 · App State won the last meeting, 26–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Marshall
Lvs Coastal Carolina27–21Lat James Madison45–17Wvs Gardner-Webb36–35
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs Marshall Stats ComparisonApp State vs Marshall Stats Comparison
| App StateAPP | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#69 | PPG | 22#109 |
| 21.8#54 | PA/G | 33.7#129 |
| 421.8#47 | YDS/G | 406.5#58 |
| 267.7#31 | PASS/G | 247.8#50 |
| 154.2#71 | RUSH/G | 158.7#67 |
| 6.1#53 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 35.9%#106 | 3RD DOWN | 40.5%#75 |
| 0.16#66 | OFF PPA | 0.11#84 |
| 0.05#62 | DEF PPA | 0.31#137 |
| 44.1%#59 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1%#59 |
| 41.5%#82 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.5%#119 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.27#47 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#69 |
| 1301 | ELO | 1344 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | −9#136 |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -13.2 |
| -8.9#101 | FPI | -16.5#126 |
| -10.1 | SRS | -18.8 |
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about App State or Marshall?
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