GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDUL MonroeULM0–6·SBC
App StateAPP4–2·SBC
ULM radioWarhawk Sports Network
APP radioApp State Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives App State a 94% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 7–1 since 2014 · App State won the last meeting, 41–40 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge APP
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UL Monroe @ App State
Your sims:Sims: APP 0, ULM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UL Monroe
Lvs Louisiana Tech24–0Lat South Alabama52–35Lvs Florida Atlantic45–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UL Monroe vs App State Stats ComparisonUL Monroe vs App State Stats Comparison
| UL MonroeULM | App StateAPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 20#121 | PPG | 29.5#69 |
| 41.2#137 | PA/G | 21.8#54 |
| 341#109 | YDS/G | 421.8#47 |
| 218.5#81 | PASS/G | 267.7#31 |
| 122.5#113 | RUSH/G | 154.2#71 |
| 5.3#111 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#53 |
| 30.9%#128 | 3RD DOWN | 35.9%#106 |
| 0.30#136 | DEF PPA | 0.05#62 |
| 41.9%#84 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1%#59 |
| 49.4%#135 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.5%#82 |
| 38.7% | RET PROD | 37.9% |
| 1.14#116 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| 991 | ELO | 1301 |
| −5#120 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| -0.04#130 | OFF PPA | 0.16#66 |
| -28.4 | SP+ | -6.0 |
| -26.3#137 | FPI | -8.9#101 |
| -24.8 | SRS | -10.1 |
THE VENUE
Kidd Brewer StadiumLocationBoone, NC
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation3,252 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about UL Monroe or App State?
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