GAME DAY
Week 13 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives App State a 53% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 4–2 since 2014 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 48–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge USA
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ South Alabama
Your sims:Sims: USA 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
South Alabama
Wat Arkansas State56–49Wvs UL Monroe52–35Lat Kentucky45–21
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonApp State vs USA Stats Comparison
| App StateAPP | South AlabamaUSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#69 | PPG | 38.8#15 |
| 21.8#54 | PA/G | 34.5#131 |
| 421.8#47 | YDS/G | 437.8#38 |
| 267.7#31 | PASS/G | 217.5#83 |
| 154.2#71 | RUSH/G | 220.3#17 |
| 6.1#53 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#50 |
| 35.9%#106 | 3RD DOWN | 44.2%#42 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | +8#6 |
| 0.16#66 | OFF PPA | 0.23#33 |
| 0.05#62 | DEF PPA | 0.27#133 |
| 44.1%#59 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.7%#66 |
| 41.5%#82 | DEF SUCCESS | 51.4%#137 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 78.6% |
| 1.27#46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#21 |
| 1301 | ELO | 1365 |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -11.1 |
| -8.9#101 | FPI | -6.8#94 |
| -10.1 | SRS | -4.5 |
THE VENUE
Hancock Whitney StadiumLocationMobile, AL
Capacity25,450
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
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