GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDGAST radioPanther Sports Network
MRSH radioHerd Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia State a 61% chance.
SeriesMarshall leads 3–1 since 2022 · Marshall won the last meeting, 30–18 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GAST
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection GAST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia State @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, GAST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Georgia State
Lat James Madison49–22Wvs Old Dominion42–10Wvs Northern Illinois35–14
Marshall
Lvs Coastal Carolina27–21Lat James Madison45–17Wvs Gardner-Webb36–35
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia State vs Marshall Stats ComparisonGAST vs Marshall Stats Comparison
| Georgia StateGAST | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5#26 | PPG | 22#109 |
| 24#74 | PA/G | 33.7#129 |
| 452.7#23 | YDS/G | 406.5#58 |
| 246.7#52 | PASS/G | 247.8#50 |
| 206#26 | RUSH/G | 158.7#67 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 47.5%#26 | 3RD DOWN | 40.5%#75 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.11#84 |
| 0.02#41 | DEF PPA | 0.31#137 |
| 47.3%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1%#59 |
| 37.2%#37 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.5%#119 |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.22#79 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#69 |
| 1376 | ELO | 1344 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | −9#136 |
| -4.8 | SP+ | -13.2 |
| -5.9#92 | FPI | -16.5#126 |
| 0.6 | SRS | -18.8 |
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
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