GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDGASO radioEagle Sports Network
GAST radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia Southern a 81% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 6–6 · Georgia Southern won the last meeting, 41–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GASO
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection GASO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, GASO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)
Wvs App State29–10Wat Marshall24–19Lvs Old Dominion45–10Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Stats ComparisonGASO vs GAST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia SouthernGASO | Georgia StateGAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9#65 | PPG | 19.8#119 |
| 32.3#120 | PA/G | 37.8#133 |
| 402.3#53 | YDS/G | 378.2#77 |
| 247#47 | PASS/G | 254.4#38 |
| 155.3#72 | RUSH/G | 123.8#107 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 44.7%#31 | 3RD DOWN | 38.6%#83 |
| 0.20#45 | OFF PPA | 0.13#91 |
| 0.27#130 | DEF PPA | 0.28#133 |
| 44.1%#45 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 48.8%#132 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 5.8% | RET PROD | 46.5% |
| 1.23#71 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#61 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | −11#127 |
| -10.8 | SP+ | -29.3 |
| -8.7#103 | FPI | -15.2#127 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
