GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDGASO radioGeorgia Southern Sports Network
GAST radioPanther Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia State a 59% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 6–6 since 2014 · Georgia Southern won the last meeting, 41–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GASO
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection GAST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, GASO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Georgia Southern
Wat Old Dominion23–15Lvs James Madison27–24Wat Coastal Carolina31–24
Georgia State
Lat James Madison49–22Wvs Old Dominion42–10Wvs Northern Illinois35–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Stats ComparisonGASO vs GAST Stats Comparison
| Georgia SouthernGASO | Georgia StateGAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4#91 | PPG | 36.5#26 |
| 23#63 | PA/G | 24#74 |
| 397.1#64 | YDS/G | 452.7#23 |
| 275.3#24 | PASS/G | 246.7#52 |
| 121.9#113 | RUSH/G | 206#26 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 39.2%#81 | 3RD DOWN | 47.5%#26 |
| 0.14#73 | OFF PPA | 0.21#39 |
| 0.05#59 | DEF PPA | 0.02#41 |
| 43.6%#68 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.3%#34 |
| 38.1%#45 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.2%#37 |
| 5.8% | RET PROD | 46.5% |
| 1.18#96 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#79 |
| 1374 | ELO | 1376 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| -4.6 | SP+ | -4.8 |
| -4.6#89 | FPI | -5.9#92 |
| -3.0 | SRS | 0.6 |
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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