GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
New MexicoUNM0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 67% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 26–16 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 20–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Air Force @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico
New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs Minnesota20–17 (OT)Wvs San Diego State23–17 (OT)Wat Air Force20–3New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Air Force vs New Mexico Stats ComparisonAir Force vs New Mexico Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Air ForceAF | New MexicoUNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8#48 | PPG | 27.1#73 |
| 30.3#109 | PA/G | 22.3#46 |
| 406.7#46 | YDS/G | 357.2#90 |
| 145.2#128 | PASS/G | 204.8#92 |
| 261.5#3 | RUSH/G | 152.4#76 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 51.0%#7 | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#72 |
| 0.29#20 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.40#136 | DEF PPA | 0.10#45 |
| 47.6%#14 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.8%#88 |
| 49.4%#134 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.5%#46 |
| 57.4% | RET PROD | 58.2% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#55 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | −6#108 |
| -3.2 | SP+ | 0.0 |
| -6.8#93 | FPI | -3.5#81 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
