GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·Air ForceAF5–1·MWC
New MexicoUNM5–1·MWC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 82% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 26–16 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 20–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Air Force @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Air Force vs New Mexico Stats ComparisonAir Force vs New Mexico Stats Comparison
| Air ForceAF | New MexicoUNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#62 | PPG | 39.7#10 |
| 19.7#38 | PA/G | 10.5#1 |
| 407#57 | YDS/G | 377.5#82 |
| 64#138 | PASS/G | 163#127 |
| 343#2 | RUSH/G | 214.5#21 |
| 5.7#82 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#64 |
| 52.9%#10 | 3RD DOWN | 41.6%#65 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +17#1 |
| 0.25#27 | OFF PPA | 0.16#63 |
| 49.3%#17 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#85 |
| 37.4%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 32.4%#1 |
| 57.4% | RET PROD | 58.2% |
| 1.06#136 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#44 |
| 1484 | ELO | 1677 |
| 1.4 | SP+ | 12.3 |
| 0.03#47 | DEF PPA | -0.15#2 |
| -2.1#79 | FPI | 7.8#43 |
| -2.1 | SRS | 7.2 |
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
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