GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDMichiganMICH0–0·B1G
MICH radioMichigan Sports Network
ORE radioOregon Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oregon opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oregon a 81% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 3–3 · Oregon won the last meeting, 38–17 · 2024
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ORE
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Michigan @ Oregon
Your sims:Sims: ORE 0, MICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMICH +13.5ORE −13.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEMICH +400ORE −535
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Michigan vs Oregon Stats ComparisonMichigan vs Oregon Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MichiganMICH | OregonORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5#69 | PPG | 36.9#10 |
| 20.4#29 | PA/G | 17.9#12 |
| 397.9#58 | YDS/G | 452.2#17 |
| 186.8#107 | PASS/G | 253.6#39 |
| 211.2#14 | RUSH/G | 198.6#20 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#8 |
| 43.6%#32 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.20#47 | OFF PPA | 0.30#12 |
| 0.11#52 | DEF PPA | 0.04#13 |
| 45.5%#32 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.4%#16 |
| 41.8%#70 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.4%#15 |
| 69.2% | RET PROD | 75.3% |
| 1.14#129 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#20 |
| 17.0 | SP+ | 29.2 |
| 15.9#15 | FPI | 25.3#4 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Autzen StadiumLocationEugene, OR
Capacity54,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation418 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
