GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FRES
Home-field edge TXST
Model projection TXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Fresno State @ Texas State
Your sims:Sims: TXST 0, FRES 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Fresno State
Lat San Diego State26–23Lvs Boise State38–31Wat Washington State26–6
Texas State
Wvs Colorado State66–27Lat San Diego State31–29Wvs Incarnate Word63–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Fresno State vs Texas State Stats ComparisonFresno State vs Texas State Stats Comparison
| Fresno StateFRES | Texas StateTXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.6#79 | PPG | 40#9 |
| 20.9#43 | PA/G | 32.2#122 |
| 352.6#102 | YDS/G | 562.3#1 |
| 212.1#90 | PASS/G | 258.8#40 |
| 140.4#94 | RUSH/G | 303.5#3 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2#7 |
| 36.1%#104 | 3RD DOWN | 55.4%#5 |
| 0.11#85 | OFF PPA | 0.29#15 |
| 0.04#52 | DEF PPA | 0.11#84 |
| 40.0%#104 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.9%#8 |
| 41.9%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.8%#111 |
| 38.3% | RET PROD | 76.0% |
| 1.28#39 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#29 |
| 1628 | ELO | 1567 |
| +8#6 | TO MARGIN | −5#121 |
| 3.7 | SP+ | -0.2 |
| -0.7#73 | FPI | -0.1#70 |
| -0.8 | SRS | 7.3 |
THE VENUE
Bobcat Stadium (TX)LocationSan Marcos, TX
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1981
Elevation584 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Fresno State or Texas State?
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