GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TXST
Home-field edge TXST
Model projection TXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington State @ Texas State
Your sims:Sims: TXST 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Washington State
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)
Wvs Utah State34–21Wvs Oregon State32–8Lat James Madison24–20
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington State vs Texas State Stats ComparisonWSU vs Texas State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Washington StateWSU | Texas StateTXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 36.5#12 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 29#95 |
| 339.8#107 | YDS/G | 473.5#5 |
| 210.4#89 | PASS/G | 250.8#43 |
| 129.5#101 | RUSH/G | 222.7#10 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 38.1%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 46.0%#23 |
| 0.13#92 | OFF PPA | 0.31#10 |
| 0.09#36 | DEF PPA | 0.16#71 |
| 41.6%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1%#61 |
| 91.3% | RET PROD | 76.0% |
| 1.11#131 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35#18 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
| -4.3 | SP+ | -2.1 |
| -4.1#83 | FPI | -4.3#84 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bobcat Stadium (TX)LocationSan Marcos, TX
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1981
Elevation584 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Washington State or Texas State?
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