GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·MerrimackMRMK–
DelawareDEL0–0·CUSA
StreamingESPN+
DEL radioBlue Hens Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Delaware opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Delaware a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Merrimack
10
DEL win
99% One-score game
4% Cover DEL −28.5
69%
99% One-score game
4% Cover DEL −28.5
69%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge DEL
Market lean DEL
Model projection DEL
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Merrimack @ Delaware
Your sims:Sims: DEL 0, MRMK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Delaware98%- Merrimack3%
CFB Vibes ModelDEL 99%MarketDEL 98%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $41,506 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMRMK +28.5DEL −28.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEMRMK +3500DEL −20000
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Merrimack vs Delaware Stats ComparisonMerrimack vs Delaware Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MerrimackMRMK | DelawareDEL | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 29#56 |
| – | PA/G | 31#116 |
| – | YDS/G | 410.8#39 |
| – | PASS/G | 291.5#7 |
| – | RUSH/G | 119.2#112 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 41.6%#48 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#54 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 41.3%#65 |
| – | RET PROD | 84.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#42 |
| – | SP+ | -12.9 |
| – | FPI | -6.6#91 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Delaware StadiumLocationNewark, DE
Capacity22,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1952
Elevation94 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
