GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UConn a 94% chance.
SeriesUConn leads 6–4 · UConn won the last meeting, 47–42 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CONN
Home-field edge CONN
Model projection CONN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Massachusetts @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, MASS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs UConn Stats ComparisonMASS vs UConn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MassachusettsMASS | UConnCONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1#136 | PPG | 35.3#15 |
| 38.6#136 | PA/G | 27#81 |
| 247.5#136 | YDS/G | 448.5#20 |
| 165.1#120 | PASS/G | 283.8#12 |
| 82.4#134 | RUSH/G | 164.7#60 |
| 3.9#136 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 30.7%#132 | 3RD DOWN | 40.6%#59 |
| 0.26#128 | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| 33.6%#134 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9%#28 |
| 48.0%#131 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 1.18#108 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#21 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +15#3 |
| -0.03#136 | OFF PPA | 0.31#9 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | 2.3% |
| -32.9 | SP+ | -11.9 |
| -18.8#137 | FPI | -11.2#114 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Massachusetts or UConn?
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