Massachusetts at UConn: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

GAME DAY

Week 8 · Fri, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM EDT7:00 PM EDT

MassachusettsMASS4–3·MAC

UConnCONN3–3

TVCBSSN

StreamingParamount+

MASS radioMinuteman Sports Network

CONN radioUConn Sports Network

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Terms & eligibility

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

UConn opens a 14.5-point favorite. Our model gives UConn a 83% chance.

SeriesUConn leads 6–4 · UConn won the last meeting, 47–42 · 2024

WIN PROBABILITY

CONN 83% MASS 17%

PROJECTED FINAL

UConn

Massachusetts

CONN win
83% One-score game
28%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) CONN

Home-field edge CONN

Market lean CONN

Model projection CONN

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Massachusetts @ UConn

Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, MASS 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Massachusetts

2026: 4–3 (1–3 MAC)

Lat Buffalo25–18 (OT)Lvs Miami (OH)20–19 Lvs Eastern Michigan38–14

UConn

2026: 3–3

Wat Temple34–20 Lvs Syracuse42–41 (OT)Lat Miami (OH)24–21

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADMASS +14.5CONN −14.5

TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5

MONEYLINEMASS +500CONN −700

DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice

Massachusetts vs UConn Stats ComparisonMASS vs UConn Stats Comparison

MassachusettsMASS		UConnCONN
28#77	PPG	35.7#29
19.1#33	PA/G	25.2#81
339.1#112	YDS/G	451.8#24
179#117	PASS/G	256.5#43
160.1#64	RUSH/G	195.3#33
5.9#65	YDS/PLAY	6.9#12
35.4%#108	3RD DOWN	41.9%#58
0.16#66	OFF PPA	0.22#35
43.3%#72	OFF SUCCESS	44.9%#52
38.7%#49	DEF SUCCESS	42.3%#92
1.19#93	EXPLOSIVE	1.40#7
1132	ELO	1483
+7#10	TO MARGIN	+0#70
-0.03#29	DEF PPA	0.08#74
-56.7%	RET PROD	2.3%
-9.5	SP+	-1.3
-13.8#118	FPI	-6.0#93
-13.6	SRS	-3.8

THE VENUE

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

LocationEast Hartford, CT

Capacity40,000

SurfaceGrass

Opened2003

Elevation21 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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