GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDBALL radioCardinal Sports Network
MASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ball State a 59% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Ball State won the last meeting, 20–10 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BALL
Home-field edge MASS
Model projection BALL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Massachusetts
Your sims:Sims: MASS 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Massachusetts Stats ComparisonBall State vs MASS Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | MassachusettsMASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | 11.1#136 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 38.6#136 |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | 247.5#136 |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | 165.1#120 |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | 82.4#134 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 3.9#136 |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | 30.7%#132 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.26#128 |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 33.6%#134 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 48.0%#131 |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#108 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | -0.03#136 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | -56.7% |
| -25.1 | SP+ | -32.9 |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | -18.8#137 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Warren McGuirk Alumni StadiumLocationHadley, MA
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation153 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Ball State or Massachusetts?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
