GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDBALL radioCardinal Sports Network
MASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Massachusetts a 89% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Ball State won the last meeting, 20–10 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MASS
Home-field edge MASS
Model projection MASS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Massachusetts
Your sims:Sims: MASS 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Ball State
Wat Bowling Green32–31 (OT)Lat Northwestern45–14Lvs Toledo39–24
Massachusetts
Lat Buffalo25–18 (OT)Lvs Miami (OH)20–19Lvs Eastern Michigan38–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Massachusetts Stats ComparisonBall State vs MASS Stats Comparison
| Ball StateBALL | MassachusettsMASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3#118 | PPG | 28#77 |
| 37.9#135 | PA/G | 19.1#33 |
| 326.1#118 | YDS/G | 339.1#112 |
| 190.9#108 | PASS/G | 179#117 |
| 135.3#101 | RUSH/G | 160.1#64 |
| 5.1#118 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#65 |
| 30.7%#131 | 3RD DOWN | 35.4%#108 |
| 0.07#98 | OFF PPA | 0.16#66 |
| 38.2%#123 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#72 |
| 45.1%#118 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.7%#49 |
| 1.33#19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#93 |
| 1065 | ELO | 1132 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +7#10 |
| 0.29#134 | DEF PPA | -0.03#29 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | -56.7% |
| -25.2 | SP+ | -9.5 |
| -21.1#132 | FPI | -13.8#118 |
| -15.4 | SRS | -13.6 |
THE VENUE
Warren McGuirk Alumni StadiumLocationHadley, MA
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation153 ft
FAN NEWS
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