GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDCincinnatiCIN0–0·B12
Iowa StateISU0–0·B12
CIN radioBearcats Radio Network
ISU radioCyclone Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa State a 52% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 2–1 · Cincinnati won the last meeting, 38–30 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CIN
Home-field edge ISU
Model projection ISU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State
Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, CIN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Cincinnati vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonCincinnati vs Iowa State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| CincinnatiCIN | Iowa StateISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.3#43 | PPG | 27.4#70 |
| 25.6#74 | PA/G | 20.2#26 |
| 407.6#43 | YDS/G | 395.6#60 |
| 230.2#62 | PASS/G | 221.4#73 |
| 177.5#42 | RUSH/G | 174.2#51 |
| 6.9#8 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 38.7%#81 | 3RD DOWN | 39.9%#69 |
| 0.30#15 | OFF PPA | 0.19#52 |
| 0.19#93 | DEF PPA | 0.09#35 |
| 46.8%#20 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.0%#38 |
| 43.9%#101 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.1%#42 |
| 8.3% | RET PROD | 1.7% |
| 1.32#30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#89 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +4#43 |
| 3.0 | SP+ | -0.4 |
| 4.4#46 | FPI | -0.9#72 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jack Trice StadiumLocationAmes, IA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1975
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
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