GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDCincinnatiCIN4–2·B12
Iowa StateISU3–3·B12
CIN radioBearcats Radio Network
ISU radioCyclone Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa State a 50% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 2–1 · Cincinnati won the last meeting, 38–30 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CIN
Home-field edge ISU
Model projection CIN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State
Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, CIN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Cincinnati vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonCincinnati vs Iowa State Stats Comparison
| CincinnatiCIN | Iowa StateISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.2#36 | PPG | 29.7#68 |
| 26.8#97 | PA/G | 21.7#50 |
| 460#19 | YDS/G | 359.7#94 |
| 228.8#72 | PASS/G | 178.2#119 |
| 231.2#11 | RUSH/G | 181.5#47 |
| 7#10 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 49.4%#19 | 3RD DOWN | 31.0%#127 |
| +5#15 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.34#8 | OFF PPA | 0.13#79 |
| 0.19#117 | DEF PPA | 0.07#73 |
| 47.6%#33 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3%#110 |
| 43.5%#109 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.4%#66 |
| 8.3% | RET PROD | 1.7% |
| 1.39#10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#31 |
| 1466 | ELO | 1643 |
| 5.3 | SP+ | 1.0 |
| 3.5#56 | FPI | 4.3#54 |
| 3.3 | SRS | 6.1 |
THE VENUE
Jack Trice StadiumLocationAmes, IA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1975
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
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