GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·Iowa StateISU3–3·B12
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCF a 67% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 1–0 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 38–35 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UCF
Home-field edge UCF
Model projection UCF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Iowa State @ UCF
Your sims:Sims: UCF 0, ISU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Iowa State vs UCF Stats ComparisonIowa State vs UCF Stats Comparison
| Iowa StateISU | UCFUCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7#68 | PPG | 31.7#52 |
| 21.7#50 | PA/G | 21.7#50 |
| 359.7#94 | YDS/G | 354.8#99 |
| 178.2#119 | PASS/G | 192.7#106 |
| 181.5#47 | RUSH/G | 162.2#62 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 31.0%#127 | 3RD DOWN | 35.6%#107 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| 0.13#80 | OFF PPA | 0.12#82 |
| 0.07#73 | DEF PPA | 0.00#38 |
| 39.3%#111 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.4%#90 |
| 40.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.0%#59 |
| 1.7% | RET PROD | 24.8% |
| 1.30#31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29#36 |
| 1643 | ELO | 1445 |
| 1.0 | SP+ | 4.1 |
| 4.3#54 | FPI | 5.2#51 |
| 6.1 | SRS | 9.9 |
THE VENUE
FBC Mortgage StadiumLocationOrlando, FL
Capacity44,206
SurfaceGrass
Opened2007
Elevation69 ft
FAN NEWS
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