GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·DuquesneDUQ–
Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
StreamingMW+
AF radioFalcon Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Air Force opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Air Force a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Duquesne
12
AF win
99% One-score game
4% Cover AF −28.5
70%
99% One-score game
4% Cover AF −28.5
70%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge AF
Market lean AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Duquesne @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, DUQ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Air Force98%- Duquesne3%
CFB Vibes ModelAF 99%MarketAF 98%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $17,162 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADDUQ +28.5AF −28.5
TOTALOver 58.5Under 58.5
MONEYLINEDUQ +4000AF −50000
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Duquesne vs Air Force Stats ComparisonDuquesne vs Air Force Stats Comparison
2025 stats| DuquesneDUQ | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 29.8#48 |
| – | PA/G | 30.3#109 |
| – | YDS/G | 406.7#46 |
| – | PASS/G | 145.2#128 |
| – | RUSH/G | 261.5#3 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 51.0%#7 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.29#20 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.40#136 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#14 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#134 |
| – | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| – | SP+ | -3.2 |
| – | FPI | -6.8#93 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
