GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota State @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, NDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Dakota State vs Air Force Stats ComparisonNDSU vs Air Force Stats Comparison
| North Dakota StateNDSU | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | – |
| 7 | PA/G | – |
| 373 | YDS/G | – |
| 164 | PASS/G | – |
| 209 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 35.7% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | – |
| -0.32 | DEF PPA | – |
| 42.0% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 30.9% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| – | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -1.8 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| -8.3#100 | FPI | -6.8#93 |
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Dakota State or Air Force?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
