GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico State a 58% chance.
SeriesNew Mexico State leads 2–1 · New Mexico State won the last meeting, 37–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NMSU
Home-field edge SHSU
Model projection NMSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston
Your sims:Sims: SHSU 0, NMSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico State
New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat Florida State34–17New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Stats ComparisonNMSU vs Sam Houston Stats Comparison
2025 stats| New Mexico StateNMSU | Sam HoustonSHSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6#111 | PPG | 17.8#127 |
| 27.6#88 | PA/G | 37.8#133 |
| 327.8#115 | YDS/G | 316.8#121 |
| 250.3#45 | PASS/G | 184#110 |
| 77.4#136 | RUSH/G | 132.8#98 |
| 4.8#127 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 41.7%#45 | 3RD DOWN | 22.2%#136 |
| 0.03#128 | OFF PPA | 0.00#132 |
| 0.10#41 | DEF PPA | 0.24#118 |
| 36.4%#124 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.3%#125 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 47.9%#130 |
| 24.4% | RET PROD | 57.7% |
| 1.25#58 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#56 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -18.5 | SP+ | -26.0 |
| -15.7#129 | FPI | -18.4#136 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Elliott T. Bowers StadiumLocationHuntsville, TX
Capacity14,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1986
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
