GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Jacksonville State a 66% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Jacksonville State won the last meeting, 54–13 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NMSU win
34% One-score game
36%
34% One-score game
36%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JXST
Home-field edge NMSU
Model projection JXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Jacksonville St @ New Mexico St
Your sims:Sims: NMSU 0, JXST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat North Dakota State33–7Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)New Mexico State
New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat Florida State34–17New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Stats ComparisonJXST vs NMSU Stats Comparison
| Jacksonville StateJXST | New Mexico StateNMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | PPG | 17 |
| 33 | PA/G | 34 |
| 170 | YDS/G | 319 |
| 85 | PASS/G | 272 |
| 85 | RUSH/G | 47 |
| 3.1 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8 |
| 20.0% | 3RD DOWN | 58.8% |
| 0.22 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
| 30.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 34.3% |
| 42.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8% |
| 49.5% | RET PROD | 24.4% |
| 0.98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.64 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -0.32 | OFF PPA | 0.16 |
| -7.8 | SP+ | -18.5 |
| -8.5#101 | FPI | -15.7#129 |
THE VENUE
Aggie Memorial StadiumLocationLas Cruces, NM
Capacity28,853
SurfaceTurf
Opened1978
Elevation3,964 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Jacksonville State or New Mexico State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 9 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
