GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·SE LouisianaSELA–
StreamingESPN+
USA radioJaguar Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
South Alabama opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives South Alabama a 78% chance.
SeriesSouth Alabama leads 1–0 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 35–17 · 2023
What's driving the model
Home-field edge USA
Market lean USA
Model projection USA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
SE Louisiana @ South Alabama
Your sims:Sims: USA 0, SELA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSELA +12.5USA −12.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINESELA +440USA −600
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
SE Louisiana vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonSE Louisiana vs USA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| SE LouisianaSELA | South AlabamaUSA | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 26.5#76 |
| – | PA/G | 30.4#110 |
| – | YDS/G | 382.2#75 |
| – | PASS/G | 181.1#114 |
| – | RUSH/G | 201.2#18 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 42.6%#39 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.24#120 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3%#94 |
| – | RET PROD | 78.6% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| – | SP+ | -14.6 |
| – | FPI | -10.5#112 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock Whitney StadiumLocationMobile, AL
Capacity25,450
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
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