GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·TulaneTULN0–0·AAC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tulane a 80% chance.
SeriesTulane leads 3–1 · Tulane won the last meeting, 33–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TULN
Home-field edge TULN
Model projection TULN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Alabama @ Tulane
Your sims:Sims: TULN 0, USA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Tulane71%- South Alabama21%
CFB Vibes ModelTULN 80%MarketTULN 71%
Market 9 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $94 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Alabama vs Tulane Stats ComparisonUSA vs Tulane Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South AlabamaUSA | TulaneTULN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5#76 | PPG | 27.7#68 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 23.9#58 |
| 382.2#75 | YDS/G | 411.5#36 |
| 181.1#114 | PASS/G | 245.1#50 |
| 201.2#18 | RUSH/G | 166.4#58 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 42.1%#43 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.20#41 |
| 0.24#120 | DEF PPA | 0.15#66 |
| 41.8%#76 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.7%#41 |
| 43.3%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.6%#110 |
| 78.6% | RET PROD | 21.0% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#94 |
| -14.6 | SP+ | -4.3 |
| -10.5#112 | FPI | 2.3#56 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Yulman StadiumLocationNew Orleans, LA
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2014
Elevation0 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about South Alabama or Tulane?
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