GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Stony BrookSTBK–
StreamingESPN+
BALL radioCardinal Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ball State a 65% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BALL
Home-field edge BALL
Model projection BALL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stony Brook @ Ball State
Your sims:Sims: BALL 0, STBK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stony BrookStony Brook2025: 0–1
Lat San Diego State42–0Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stony Brook vs Ball State Stats ComparisonStony Brook vs Ball State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Stony BrookSTBK | Ball StateBALL | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 15.8#132 |
| – | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| – | YDS/G | 271.7#134 |
| – | PASS/G | 138#131 |
| – | RUSH/G | 133.7#96 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 33.5%#119 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| – | OFF PPA | -0.00#133 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 32.5%#136 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| – | RET PROD | 5.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#29 |
| – | SP+ | -25.1 |
| – | FPI | -17.3#134 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Scheumann StadiumLocationMuncie, IN
Capacity22,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation937 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Stony Brook or Ball State?
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