Rhode Island @ Stony Brook, Week 3 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Rhode Island a 52% chance.

SeriesStony Brook leads 7–4 · Rhode Island won the last meeting, 31–17 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
URI 52% STBK 48%
PROJECTED FINAL
STBK win
48%
One-score game
36%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) URI
Home-field edge STBK
Model projection URI
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Rhode Island @ Stony Brook

Your sims:Sims: STBK 0, URI 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Rhode Island53%
  2. Stony Brook47%
CFB Vibes ModelURI 52%MarketURI 53%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $7 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Rhode Island vs Stony Brook Stats ComparisonRhode Island vs Stony Brook Stats Comparison

2026 stats
Rhode IslandURIStony BrookSTBK
24PPG35
22.5PA/G36.5
294.5YDS/G429
40.7%3RD DOWN37.5%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Kenneth P. LaValle Stadium
LocationStony Brook, NY
Capacity12,300
SurfaceTurf
Opened2002
Elevation107 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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CFB VIBES MODELMISS 53% to win
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CFB VIBES MODELTTU 80% to win
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CFB VIBES MODELLOU 55% to win
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75Games in Week 3Full schedule →