GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa State a 87% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 2–0 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 38–10 · 1979
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ISU
Home-field edge ISU
Model projection ISU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Bowling Green @ Iowa State
Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Bowling Green vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonBGSU vs Iowa State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Bowling GreenBGSU | Iowa StateISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5#117 | PPG | 27.4#70 |
| 24.2#63 | PA/G | 20.2#26 |
| 306.8#125 | YDS/G | 395.6#60 |
| 151.2#126 | PASS/G | 221.4#73 |
| 155.5#71 | RUSH/G | 174.2#51 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 36.7%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 39.9%#69 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +4#43 |
| 0.03#129 | OFF PPA | 0.19#52 |
| 0.15#60 | DEF PPA | 0.09#35 |
| 35.9%#127 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.0%#38 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.1%#42 |
| 1.24#68 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#89 |
| -6.2% | RET PROD | 1.7% |
| -15.0 | SP+ | -0.4 |
| -13.7#123 | FPI | -0.9#72 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jack Trice StadiumLocationAmes, IA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1975
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
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