GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Oregon State a 55% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Oregon State won the last meeting, 39–31 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ORST
Home-field edge CSU
Model projection ORST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Oregon State @ Colorado State
Your sims:Sims: CSU 0, ORST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Oregon State vs Colorado State Stats ComparisonOregon State vs CSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Oregon StateORST | Colorado StateCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2#125 | PPG | 18.5#124 |
| 29.4#98 | PA/G | 30.8#113 |
| 352.7#95 | YDS/G | 324.2#117 |
| 225.4#66 | PASS/G | 215.9#86 |
| 127.2#103 | RUSH/G | 108.2#120 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 35.9%#102 | 3RD DOWN | 32.9%#122 |
| 0.06#120 | OFF PPA | 0.12#94 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.24#118 |
| 42.4%#67 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8%#103 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.9%#119 |
| 57.9% | RET PROD | 39.6% |
| 1.07#135 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#86 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| -5.6 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| -8.1#98 | FPI | -12.4#118 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Canvas StadiumLocationFort Collins, CO
Capacity36,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation5,014 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Oregon State or Colorado State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 5 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
