GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·TVCBSSN
StreamingParamount+
SJSU radioSJSU Spartans Sports Media Network
AF radioAir Force Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Air Force a 86% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 6–3 · Air Force won the last meeting, 26–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) AF
Home-field edge AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San José State @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San José State vs Air Force Stats ComparisonSJSU vs Air Force Stats Comparison
| San José StateSJSU | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#111 | PPG | 30.8#62 |
| 21.7#50 | PA/G | 19.7#38 |
| 384.7#74 | YDS/G | 407#57 |
| 246#53 | PASS/G | 64#138 |
| 138.7#96 | RUSH/G | 343#2 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#82 |
| 34.4%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 52.9%#10 |
| 0.13#77 | OFF PPA | 0.25#27 |
| 0.07#70 | DEF PPA | 0.03#47 |
| 40.6%#97 | OFF SUCCESS | 49.3%#17 |
| 43.1%#101 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| 1.17#102 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.06#136 |
| 1380 | ELO | 1484 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -12.2 | SP+ | 1.4 |
| -12.5#112 | FPI | -2.1#79 |
| -13.1 | SRS | -2.1 |
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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