GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·Air ForceAF5–1·MWC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Air Force a 97% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 14–1 · Air Force won the last meeting, 56–46 · 1995
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) AF
Home-field edge AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UTEP @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, UTEP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UTEP vs Air Force Stats ComparisonUTEP vs Air Force Stats Comparison
| UTEPUTEP | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1#134 | PPG | 30.8#62 |
| 37.3#134 | PA/G | 19.7#38 |
| 288.3#135 | YDS/G | 407#57 |
| 151.9#130 | PASS/G | 64#138 |
| 136.4#100 | RUSH/G | 343#2 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#82 |
| 24.7%#138 | 3RD DOWN | 52.9%#10 |
| 0.25#129 | DEF PPA | 0.03#47 |
| 34.7%#132 | OFF SUCCESS | 49.3%#17 |
| 46.4%#124 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 1.33#22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.06#136 |
| 992 | ELO | 1484 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -0.10#137 | OFF PPA | 0.25#27 |
| -1.1% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| -24.6 | SP+ | 1.4 |
| -24.4#136 | FPI | -2.1#79 |
| -22.7 | SRS | -2.1 |
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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