GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·NC StateNCSU0–1·ACC
VanderbiltVAN0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Vanderbilt a 69% chance.
SeriesVanderbilt leads 2–1 · NC State won the last meeting, 41–17 · 2016
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) VAN
Home-field edge VAN
Model projection VAN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
NC State @ Vanderbilt
Your sims:Sims: VAN 0, NCSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3NC State
NC State2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)
Lat Virginia34–8NC State2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
NC State vs Vanderbilt Stats ComparisonNC State vs Vanderbilt Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NC StateNCSU | VanderbiltVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#44 | PPG | 38.5#8 |
| 27.2#82 | PA/G | 22.8#47 |
| 392.8#65 | YDS/G | 463.2#9 |
| 245.7#49 | PASS/G | 287.3#10 |
| 147.1#81 | RUSH/G | 175.9#49 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 7.5#1 |
| 41.2%#51 | 3RD DOWN | 51.1%#6 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.24#27 | OFF PPA | 0.41#1 |
| 0.19#92 | DEF PPA | 0.19#96 |
| 42.4%#67 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.3%#5 |
| 39.8%#49 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 59.9% | RET PROD | 35.4% |
| 1.38#9 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.42#5 |
| 5.7 | SP+ | 9.8 |
| 3.7#51 | FPI | 9.0#29 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FirstBank StadiumLocationNashville, TN
Capacity40,351
SurfaceTurf
Opened1922
Elevation525 ft
FAN NEWS
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