GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDUSM radioSouthern Miss Radio Network
ODU radioMonarch Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Old Dominion a 86% chance.
SeriesOld Dominion leads 2–1 · Old Dominion won the last meeting, 17–13 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ODU
Home-field edge ODU
Model projection ODU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion
Your sims:Sims: ODU 0, USM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Southern Miss
Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Western Kentucky27–16Lvs Troy28–18Lat South Alabama42–35Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Old Dominion
Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)
Wvs South Florida24–10Wvs Georgia State27–10Wat Georgia Southern45–10Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southern Miss vs Old Dominion Stats ComparisonUSM vs Old Dominion Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Southern MissUSM | Old DominionODU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.8#58 | PPG | 32#29 |
| 27.4#84 | PA/G | 18.5#14 |
| 401.8#54 | YDS/G | 454.9#15 |
| 266#26 | PASS/G | 216#85 |
| 135.8#93 | RUSH/G | 238.9#7 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 39.7%#70 | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| +14#4 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.16#71 | OFF PPA | 0.24#28 |
| 0.12#54 | DEF PPA | 0.02#8 |
| 39.5%#107 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.4%#34 |
| 41.5%#68 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.8%#25 |
| 90.2% | RET PROD | 9.2% |
| 1.33#25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| -20.7 | SP+ | -6.9 |
| -5.1#87 | FPI | -4.4#85 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
S.B. Ballard StadiumLocationNorfolk, VA
Capacity20,118
SurfaceTurf
Opened1936
Elevation10 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Southern Miss or Old Dominion?
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
