GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 81% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 8–5 · App State won the last meeting, 21–19 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonApp State vs ECU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| App StateAPP | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#91 | PPG | 32.7#24 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 20.1#25 |
| 384.9#71 | YDS/G | 449#19 |
| 256.5#34 | PASS/G | 272.7#21 |
| 128.4#102 | RUSH/G | 176.3#46 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 32.8%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.18#86 | DEF PPA | 0.05#16 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.6%#24 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| 1.19#104 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| -9.8#109 | FPI | -0.6#68 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about App State or East Carolina?
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