GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 51% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 5–0 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 20–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ODU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Old Dominion
Your sims:Sims: ODU 0, ECU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Old Dominion
Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)
Wvs South Florida24–10Wvs Georgia State27–10Wat Georgia Southern45–10Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs Old Dominion Stats ComparisonECU vs Old Dominion Stats Comparison
2025 stats| East CarolinaECU | Old DominionODU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#24 | PPG | 32#29 |
| 20.1#25 | PA/G | 18.5#14 |
| 449#19 | YDS/G | 454.9#15 |
| 272.7#21 | PASS/G | 216#85 |
| 176.3#46 | RUSH/G | 238.9#7 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 47.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.24#28 |
| 0.05#16 | DEF PPA | 0.02#8 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.4%#34 |
| 37.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.8%#25 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 9.2% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | -6.9 |
| -0.6#68 | FPI | -4.4#85 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
S.B. Ballard StadiumLocationNorfolk, VA
Capacity20,118
SurfaceTurf
Opened1936
Elevation10 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about East Carolina or Old Dominion?
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