GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·North Carolina CentralNCCU–
StreamingESPN+
ECU radioPirate Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 96% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 1–0 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 52–7 · 2014
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
North Carolina Central
14
ECU win
96% One-score game
9%
96% One-score game
9%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina Central @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, NCCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Carolina CentralNorth Carolina Central2025: 0–1
Lat Old Dominion54–6East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina Central vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonNCCU vs ECU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North Carolina CentralNCCU | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 32.7#24 |
| – | PA/G | 20.1#25 |
| – | YDS/G | 449#19 |
| – | PASS/G | 272.7#21 |
| – | RUSH/G | 176.3#46 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.05#16 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 37.6%#24 |
| – | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| – | SP+ | -2.3 |
| – | FPI | -0.6#68 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Carolina Central or East Carolina?
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