Oregon @ USC, Week 4 · 2026

#2@#14

GAME DAY

Week 4 · TBD
USCUSC1–0·B1G

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Oregon opens a 5.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oregon a 63% chance.

SeriesUSC leads 39–23–2 · Oregon won the last meeting, 42–27 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
ORE 63% USC 37%
PROJECTED FINAL
USC win
37%
One-score game
39%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge USC
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Oregon @ USC

Your sims:Sims: USC 0, ORE 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
SPREADORE −5.5USC +5.5
TOTALOver 58.5Under 58.5
MONEYLINEORE −238USC +195

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Oregon vs USC Stats ComparisonOregon vs USC Stats Comparison

2025 stats
OregonOREUSCUSC
36.9#10PPG35.8#13
17.9#12PA/G23#51
452.2#17YDS/G465.2#8
46.5%#183RD DOWN51.3%#5

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Memorial Coliseum
LocationLos Angeles, CA
Capacity77,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation139 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 4 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#10@#3
#5@#20
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 66% to win
#8@#11
#22@#16
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELMICH 65% to win
@#1
#4@
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 93% to win
@#7
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 99% to win