GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDVirginiaUVA1–0·ACC
UVA radioVirginia Sports Radio Network
VT radioVirginia Tech Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Virginia Tech opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Virginia Tech a 54% chance.
SeriesVirginia Tech leads 62–34–5 · Virginia won the last meeting, 27–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge VT
Market lean VT
Model projection VT
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Virginia @ Virginia Tech
Your sims:Sims: VT 0, UVA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Virginia
Virginia2026: 1–0 (1–0 ACC)
Wvs NC State34–8Virginia2026: 1–0 (1–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUVA +1.5VT −1.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEUVA +105VT −125
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Virginia vs Virginia Tech Stats ComparisonVirginia vs VT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| VirginiaUVA | Virginia TechVT | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#37 | PPG | 21.4#113 |
| 19.6#22 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 419.1#29 | YDS/G | 349.5#97 |
| 239.1#55 | PASS/G | 166.3#119 |
| 179.9#37 | RUSH/G | 183.2#32 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 49.8%#11 | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#72 |
| 0.17#61 | OFF PPA | 0.17#64 |
| 0.06#23 | DEF PPA | 0.27#131 |
| 41.4%#80 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| 36.9%#18 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 9.5% | RET PROD | 36.7% |
| 1.28#46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#63 |
| 8.1 | SP+ | 8.6 |
| 7.9#32 | FPI | 7.4#33 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | −9#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Lane StadiumLocationBlacksburg, VA
Capacity65,632
SurfaceGrass
Opened1965
Elevation2,074 ft
FAN NEWS
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