GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 87% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 29–19–2 · Bowling Green won the last meeting, 31–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge WMU
Model projection WMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Your sims:Sims: WMU 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Bowling Green
Lvs Ball State32–31 (OT)Wvs Sacramento State38–10Wat Miami (OH)24–20
Western Michigan
Wat Central Michigan21–14Wvs Kent State38–7Wat Buffalo20–17
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelWMU 87%MarketWMU 83%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $5 traded · as of Oct 20, 8:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Stats ComparisonBGSU vs WMU Stats Comparison
| Bowling GreenBGSU | Western MichiganWMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18#129 | PPG | 25#90 |
| 29.6#114 | PA/G | 16.9#25 |
| 280.4#136 | YDS/G | 322.3#121 |
| 174.4#121 | PASS/G | 157.6#129 |
| 106#127 | RUSH/G | 164.7#59 |
| 4.8#130 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#104 |
| 36.5%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 44.8%#39 |
| 0.15#109 | DEF PPA | 0.05#60 |
| 38.9%#116 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.8%#79 |
| 46.9%#128 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.2%#104 |
| 1.08#133 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.12#123 |
| 1234 | ELO | 1486 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| -0.01#123 | OFF PPA | 0.15#68 |
| -6.2% | RET PROD | 99.7% |
| -17.9 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| -17.7#129 | FPI | -2.5#81 |
| -14.0 | SRS | -1.6 |
THE VENUE
Waldo StadiumLocationKalamazoo, MI
Capacity30,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened1939
Elevation800 ft
FAN NEWS
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