GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·MissouriMIZ0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Missouri opens a 7-point favorite. Our model gives Missouri a 68% chance.
SeriesMissouri leads 55–48–8 · Missouri won the last meeting, 42–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge KU
Market lean MIZ
Model projection MIZ
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Missouri @ Kansas
Your sims:Sims: KU 0, MIZ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMIZ 68%MarketMIZ 69%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $4,367 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMIZ −7KU +7
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEMIZ −238KU +195
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Missouri vs Kansas Stats ComparisonMissouri vs Kansas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MissouriMIZ | KansasKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#44 | PPG | 28.1#62 |
| 18.9#17 | PA/G | 26.8#80 |
| 416.8#31 | YDS/G | 389.8#68 |
| 188.4#104 | PASS/G | 220#78 |
| 228.5#8 | RUSH/G | 169.8#55 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 44.9%#29 | 3RD DOWN | 38.9%#79 |
| 0.21#35 | OFF PPA | 0.21#34 |
| 0.03#10 | DEF PPA | 0.24#117 |
| 45.4%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.9%#13 |
| 34.9%#7 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.2%#62 |
| 42.0% | RET PROD | 18.1% |
| 1.22#75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#128 |
| 15.4 | SP+ | 3.3 |
| 12.2#21 | FPI | 2.8#55 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationLawrence, KS
Capacity47,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1921
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
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