GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Miami a 99% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 1–0 · Miami won the last meeting, 17–12 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MIA
Home-field edge MIA
Model projection MIA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Michigan @ Miami
Your sims:Sims: MIA 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Michigan vs Miami Stats ComparisonCMU vs Miami Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Central MichiganCMU | MiamiMIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| 23.5#54 | PA/G | 14.8#5 |
| 332.2#112 | YDS/G | 404.9#48 |
| 167.1#118 | PASS/G | 253.2#41 |
| 165.1#59 | RUSH/G | 151.8#77 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 34.1%#115 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| 0.14#88 | OFF PPA | 0.22#32 |
| 0.08#32 | DEF PPA | 0.03#12 |
| 40.6%#91 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#20 |
| 40.3%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.9%#13 |
| 54.0% | RET PROD | 36.9% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#120 |
| -15.1 | SP+ | 22.0 |
| -12.8#120 | FPI | 21.8#7 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hard Rock StadiumLocationMiami Gardens, FL
Capacity64,767
SurfaceTurf
Opened1987
Elevation9 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Central Michigan or Miami?
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MORE WEEK 4 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
