GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·MaineME–
App StateAPP0–0·SBC
StreamingESPN+
APP radioApp State Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
App State opens a 18.5-point favorite. Our model gives App State a 87% chance.
SeriesMaine leads 1–0 · Maine won the last meeting, 34–12 · 2011
What's driving the model
Home-field edge APP
Market lean APP
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Maine @ App State
Your sims:Sims: APP 0, ME 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADME +18.5APP −18.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEME +700APP −1100
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Maine vs App State Stats ComparisonMaine vs App State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MaineME | App StateAPP | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 24.2#91 |
| – | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| – | YDS/G | 384.9#71 |
| – | PASS/G | 256.5#34 |
| – | RUSH/G | 128.4#102 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 32.8%#123 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.10#107 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.18#86 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| – | RET PROD | 37.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#104 |
| – | SP+ | -12.7 |
| – | FPI | -9.8#109 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kidd Brewer StadiumLocationBoone, NC
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation3,252 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Maine or App State?
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
