GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ohio opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ohio a 78% chance.
SeriesOhio leads 22–12–1 · Ohio won the last meeting, 28–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OHIO
Home-field edge OHIO
Market lean OHIO
Model projection OHIO
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio
Your sims:Sims: OHIO 0, EMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Michigan
Lvs Toledo34–14Wat Akron25–23Wat Massachusetts38–14
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOHIO 78%MarketOHIO 80%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $744 traded · as of Oct 20, 6:20 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADEMU +12.5OHIO −12.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINEEMU +360OHIO −470
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Eastern Michigan vs Ohio Stats ComparisonEMU vs Ohio Stats Comparison
| Eastern MichiganEMU | OhioOHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.5#110 | PPG | 30.4#63 |
| 25.9#92 | PA/G | 22.1#57 |
| 320#123 | YDS/G | 371.3#83 |
| 215#86 | PASS/G | 164.3#126 |
| 105#129 | RUSH/G | 207#24 |
| 4.8#130 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 41.9%#58 | 3RD DOWN | 51.6%#13 |
| 0.03#114 | OFF PPA | 0.21#40 |
| 0.15#108 | DEF PPA | 0.12#87 |
| 39.4%#109 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.3%#34 |
| 43.3%#106 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.6%#70 |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 62.5% |
| 1.16#105 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#113 |
| 1216 | ELO | 1430 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -11.2 | SP+ | -6.7 |
| -16.7#128 | FPI | -7.1#95 |
| -15.7 | SRS | -6.1 |
THE VENUE
Peden StadiumLocationAthens, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation637 ft
FAN NEWS
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