GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Michigan State a 91% chance.
SeriesMichigan State leads 7–0 · Michigan State won the last meeting, 73–14 · 2014
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MSU
Home-field edge MSU
Model projection MSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan St
Your sims:Sims: MSU 0, EMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)
Wvs Sacramento State28–17Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State Stats ComparisonEMU vs MSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Eastern MichiganEMU | Michigan StateMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1#92 | PPG | 24.6#89 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 29.9#104 |
| 377.5#78 | YDS/G | 345.3#99 |
| 234.8#61 | PASS/G | 222.7#70 |
| 142.8#82 | RUSH/G | 122.7#110 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 41.0%#53 | 3RD DOWN | 34.6%#110 |
| 0.20#46 | OFF PPA | 0.13#90 |
| 0.25#124 | DEF PPA | 0.20#101 |
| 42.7%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.1%#72 |
| 44.0%#103 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.6%#110 |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 20.9% |
| 1.23#69 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -16.1 | SP+ | 2.2 |
| -16.3#131 | FPI | 0.3#65 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Spartan StadiumLocationEast Lansing, MI
Capacity75,005
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation836 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Eastern Michigan or Michigan State?
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
